online poker

Monday 24 May 2010

$10.000

Despite Munich losing the Champions League final to a very clever playing Inter Milan it was a very good weekend. I crushed the game on Friday and on Saturday for almost 1k GBP in total profit. This takes my total offline poker cash game profits to 7.317,50 GBP which with today's courses is exactly $10.590,50 and I have therefore surpassed the magical $10k mark within pretty much exactly 11 months.

I guess the next mark is 100k. Well, should be doable in round about 9 years. ;-)

After testing the Guitar Hero game with the drum kit that comes with it on a party a while ago, I finally decided to buy one myself. I am quite impressed by the accuracy of this 100 Euro set. I think it's really good value. I think I spent 10hours on it yesterday and am absolutely loving it. As a former hobby "musician" and drummer, beating the easy level was pretty well... easy. I played the first few songs on medium and it's still pretty manageable. Let's see how quickly I can make it to expert. I watched some youtube stuff from a good drummer that actually really rocks the shit out this game:

Scream Aim Fire


The play is going on stage tomorrow for the next three days and my nervousness is rising but I am quite looking forward to it.

Then on Saturday there is the 10.000 GBP guaranteed Gibraltar Masters which I am hoping to take down. Shouldn't be too hard if I can run as good in the tourney as I am running in the cash games lately. :-)

Truthans

Wednesday 19 May 2010

Well done me (serious brag)

So today is going to be a proper poker post. I've been doing very well the last few weeks and since the end of a downswing in January I went on a sweet 5000 pound upswing. This of course means the my staker has locked up his profits and will get the reward for his trust transferred on his bank account in a few days.

Again Mr Keys thank you very, very much for the trust. I know it's not a usual thing to give money away to someone that is 1800 miles away and you have to trust the stories about the results that he tells as you can't find proof for winning or losing online.

I am currently playing exceptionally well and am full of confidence as I am the biggest poker winner in Gala Casino Gibraltar. I know it's some ridiculous bragging but I love it how the regs collaboratively sigh when they see me entering the poker room cause they know that they will have to play a lot more 3- and 4- bet pots as soon as I sit down and the quiet, limp game is over. Most of those guys feel really uncomfortable playing deep stacks while for me the potential of playing pots between 400 - 800 bb is where my edge gets huge.

I have developed a very good ability for 3- and 4- betting in good spots and would say that the spot-picking is one of my major advantages as the regs just can't get away from their standard game. Man that's really a lot of bragging now...

Time for a graph:



Btw, total profit since June 2009 is exactly: 6147.50 GBP

Had really good evening yesterday going out with friends and ending up in a sick home game with a fixed limit SkyHigh-stakes player that plays 500/1000 and 300/600 regularly another NL10k-40k player that just came second at WPT Bucharest and another NL2k reg and 3 other standard players like me. At 9:00 am we had 4000 pound on the table. The game was probably the most aggressive game I ever player as literally every hand was 3-bet and every third hand was 4-bet and there was a PFAI's about once every 10 hands.

I owned one of the high-stakers with K-high:

Schnibl0r: opens UTG to 9 pound
Truthans: 3-bets KT to 25 pounds
Schnibl0r: calls

Flop: 9,6,6 two clubs

Schnibl0r: checks
Truthans: bets ca. 38 ish
Schnibl0r: calls

Turn: 3 of diamonds

Schnibl0r: checks
Truthans: bets ca. 70
Schnibl0r: raises to 160
Truthans: calls

River: J of spades

Schnibl0r: bets ca 200
Truthans: calls

Schnibl0r: "Your six is good."
Truthans: "I haven't got a six."
Schnibl0r: Shows 85o
Truthans: Shows KT
Truthans: Wins the pot with K-high.

Schnibl0r: "Wow, did you just completely fucking own me? Man, I don't think I ever got owned as hard in a live game before."

Truthans: "I thought you got owned pretty hard in PartyPoker's big game a few weeks ago?"

Schnibl0r: "Yeah, but not as hard as this."


We were in the Casino earlier that night and it was the first time we got a PLO game going and played six-handed PLO100. Was good fun although I lost a little.

Two friends and me are probably putting some cash together and make a short trip to Marbella next week or so. It is the place for the rich people at the Costa Del Sol and they have a very juicy NL1000 Euro game going there on Fridays. So we are going to give this a shot by sharing and investing 1k euros each.

I've been doing ok online as well on PKR and started shots at NL200 which went pretty well. I hope to establish myself this year on NL200 there. Would be pretty cool as I went through NL10, NL25, NL50, NL100 just as you are supposed to. I have to admit that I always used a aggressive bank-roll-management but hey I am not 24-tabling 6-max games but I 2-table full-ring games. Btw, I finally realized that I get beaten up in six max games. I don't know why but I think I have troubles to adjust from the weak-passive people in the full ring games to the more aggressive and better players in the 6-max games. I am having trouble to bring my strengths from the live felt to the online felt anyway.

Next week our play goes on stage and I am starting to get the butterflies as we are currently rehearsing on a daily basis.

Stay cool.

Truthans

Friday 7 May 2010

Introduction to Poker Ecology

"Poker Ecology" - what does it mean?

The term "poker ecology" refers to the balanced (or unbalanced) system of:

a.) strong or weak depositing and withdrawing
b.) losing and winning players.

In this thread we will discuss a stand-alone poker room in its simplest form.

It is worth noting; that what is explained for an affiliate based stand-alone room, also applies to the skins on a poker network - so the same principles apply.

1. The Flow of Money


A poker room can be seen as an economic circuit. Deposits bring new money to the system. Money leaves the system through cashouts and rake (to be more specific: effective rake after all boni / rakeback etc.).

This is a kind of flux equilibrium, where in the long run:

Deposits = Cashouts + Rake


2. Basic Rules

I. Every Dollar that a poker room earns in rake or a player cashes out was is deposited by the players playing poker.

II. If (Deposits < Cashouts + Rake), the poker room will shrink and tables will become tougher.

III. If (Deposits > Cashouts + Rake), the poker room grows and the tables will become softer. Good players will win more (ceteris paribus).

Thus it stands to reason that rule III should be our clear goal.


3. The Strategy

To try and make sure that (Deposits > Cashouts + Rake), we have the following options:

Option 1: Lower Winnings / Cashouts
- clearly no. clearly no. The attraction of a poker room absolutely relies on how much you can win there as a good player.

A poker room can only be successful if it is able to offer that to players. This means both deposits and rake must be shaped in such a way that consistently high winnings / cashouts are possible.

Option 2: Increase Deposits - clearly yes. This is the big leverage. This is the big leverage. To increase deposits means to bring in more recreational players (often called 'fish') to the poker room.

However, there is a problem; recreational players generate a lot of net deposits, but not a lot of rake. This is the exact reason why it is wrong that a lot of poker rooms measure their success and the success of their affiliates, just by measuring rake.

As a poker room, you must know that money deposited by a recreational player can leave the system in just two ways;

• Winnings / Cashouts => good - as it motivates my high-rake / high-volume winning players and thus increase their rake.
• Rake => good - as I earn money with it.

Option 3: Decrease Rake - yes this is a relevant option; however it is a little more complex in that a poker room needs rake to cover its costs and turn out a profit. A poker room therefore, needs to decide how to invest the rake:
• increase rakeback / create VIP programmes / races etc.
• increase deposits

Which is better?

We think both are important, but the clear focus should be on generating deposits. Why?

Simple, if a poker room creates more than $100 in deposits, by investing $100 in marketing / retention of recreational players; then an added value is created for the poker system. This money will either benefit a winning player (which is just as good as or better than a little extra rakeback) or be turned into rake.

This rake can in turn be invested to generate more deposits. Thus an upward spiral is created; the poker room grows and tables become softer.


4. Summary

• For a poker room to be attractive to players (especially high-rake players), they need to be able to win a lot of money there.

• To enable this situation it is necessary to attract more and more deposits / recreational players to the eco system of the poker rooms. This money will then ultimately land in either a winning player's pocket or appear as rake, i.e. the pockets of the room itself.

• The rake must be used to increase net deposits / generate recreational players.




5. Competition between Poker Rooms

Competition between poker rooms does not just mean: "Who gives the highest rakeback %?"

Competition between poker rooms, especially for high-volume winning players; means creating a better environment (good software) for players to enjoy their game of poker and also earn money (winnings plus rakeback).

There are networks and rooms where you can get 60% rakeback, however you still cannot earn more money there, as there are too few tables and these are just too tough.

On the other hand PokerStars, the world's biggest poker room; do follow the ecological principles we have described above and thus are a very good choice for many winning players.

Competition between poker rooms happens on three levels:

Level 1: Basics - Software, Customer Service
Level 2: VIP System / Loyalty Schemes
Level 3: Growth and softness of Tables

In doubt, level 3 will always be the most relevant factor in the long run.

6. How do affiliates now fit into the picture?

Affiliates are service providers to the poker operators. They generate new players and offer them services to increase their lifetime value and retention rate.

How must an affiliate be to have a positive effect on poker ecology?

The same principles as mentioned above apply:

The money an affiliate earns should be used to increase deposits. If he generates more deposits (real net deposits - no reload nonsense), then that in turn increases his earnings in the long run. Therefore, the affiliate has a positive effect on the poker ecology.


But what about classical rakeback affiliates?

Do they invest a single cent of their income to attract new recreational players to a poker room or online poker in general?

We guess you know the answer: hardly any rakeback affiliates invest a single cent to introduce genuine new players and net deposits to the eco system of online poker!

This means: a rakeback affiliate changes the shape of the equation Deposits = Cashouts/Winnings + Rake:

• more winnings
• profit of the rakeback affiliate
• no new deposits


But it even gets worse:

rakeback affiliates make sure that a winning player will hardly ever sign up directly with a poker room, or through an affiliate that is directed towards recreational players.

This means that the player mix of beneficial affiliates will have a lot of net depositors, but nearly no high-rake players. As the success of the affiliate is measured in rake, this means that beneficial affiliates will get less and less money - and suddenly, there is no incentive for the poker rooms to undertake marketing campaigns that are directed towards recreational players.


7. What can I do as a player?


• Most importantly; know about and discuss this issue! If this topic is discussed by winning players then this will ultimately have a positive effect on the poker rooms, networks, skins and affiliates.

• Ideally, you could even actively give feedback to poker rooms stating that you would prefer a better regulation of their poker ecology.

While the system is still skewed, you can of course continue to look for the best deal for yourself - you should not sacrifice your own profits.

The most important thing:
Stop seeing illegal rakeback affiliates as 'player advocates'!

Giving more money to the players (in the short run) makes it easy for rakeback affiliates to act as if they were the players' best friends, while basically just abusing a flaw in the market to earn profits.

Acting against illegal rakeback affiliates is not just the right thing to do; it is also in your best interest.

If an illegal under-the-table deal offers other players additional rakeback at PokerStars, you are then at a competitive disadvantage against them. This is neither fair nor good for you.

8. "What about rakeback and bonuses in general?"


First of all, no one wants to reduce the average rakeback / bonuses a player gets. On the contrary, a fair and healthy eco-system would allow for more rakeback to be given out to players. This is because you do not have a 'middle man' in the form of a rakeback affiliate that takes his cut.

The important thing is that every affiliate should offer the same monetary incentives / rakeback to players on any given poker room. This has three major advantages:

1. Sustainability - It improves the poker room ecology.

2. Growth - It gives small affiliates additional marketing tools to attract more recreational players and prevents poaching that reduces the margins of those who bring in recreational players.

3. Fairness - Last but not least: It is just fair if every player on a poker room gets the same monetary incentives.

Wednesday 5 May 2010

What I forgot to mention



Congratulations to Tobias "PokerNoob" Reinkemeier for taking down the EPT Monte Carlo High Roller event and the € 956.000 first prize. At PokerStrategy.com we have been expecting this for a while as he kept performing well in a lot of EPT events and we are actually pretty sure he can be named in the same sentence as a Jason Mercier, ElkY or Timex.

All the anticipation and then he waited till the very last event of the EPT season. Well, I have a feeling that Tobias could have a $3 Million year. We'll see what happens in Vegas.

Truthans

Monday 3 May 2010

Saturday 1 May 2010

One more time

Once again Team PokerStrategy.com pro Tobias "Pokernoob" Reinkemeier has made the final table of a EPT High Roller event. He is currently 3rd in chips with 8 people left in the tourney at EPT Monte Carlo.

I hope he is going to shp it this time.

You can find the live stream here:

http://www.pokerstars.tv/poker-video-5156-eptlive.html

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